10 fevereiro, 2011

#Egypt near Future near alternatives


#egypt Now there are several alternatives to Egypt in near future:
First Mubarak transfer his power to the Vice President Suleiman.
Second Mubarak nominate the head of Parliament as his replacement and according to Constitution, he will have to appoint elections in  60 days.
Third the military will take over on a Coup Détat.

Regarding the first solution, I do not see a bright future, taking in account that Suleiman is a man of the regime and the protesters do not like his latest positions.

Regarding the second solution, I also do not see a bright future, because it should be according to the Constitution and the Constitution does not allow other parties other then the National Party.

The Third solution is the one that could be accepted by the protesters, if the military would promote elections in the 60 days with several Political Parties.
The new Parliament would create a new Constitution.

The Portuguese Experience in 1974 should be studied. In Portugal the period following the Coup Détat had a lot of disturbances but a new Constitution was voted by the new Parliament in 1976. 

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